How Israel plans to checkmate Iran

[Music] we're now at the precipice of a regional War it's not the first time though up until now Iran and Israel have dodged bullets left and right narrowly avoiding full-scale War but Syria has fundamentally changed the playing field just a few hours after Assad's exit Israeli Ground Forces moved into the Syrian side of the Golan Heights expanding the demilitarized zone and taking strategic Heights Israeli tanks now sit with within 30 km of Damascus possibly closer meanwhile Israeli Jets have bombed and destroyed chemical weapon sites and other Advanced Weaponry in Syria to keep them out of

extremist hands explosions have been seen at medah air base near Damascus and this particular air strike near Tartus was so massive that it registered a 3.0 magnitude earthquake the damage is extensive helicopters jet Fighters and missile Depot have been wiped out elsewhere the Israeli Air Force has hit Targets near Aleppo kamishi Latakia ketra Hama holes and other places altogether more than 480 targets have been struck the largest air operation in Israel's history at least 80% of Syria's military capacity has already been destroyed and the rest is likely to be taken out in the coming weeks

this is a GameChanger it gives Israel the ability to launch preemptive air strikes on Iran's military and nuclear sites without needing help or approval from the United States a small nudge can now tilt a superpowers balance by the way the website you've been seeing is called Ground news I use it all the time especially when researching controversial topics like this one there's just so much confusion about What's happen happening in and around Syria every side tries to spin the truth in their favor but with ground news I have the tools to read both local and

Regional sources which allows me to consider all sides of the Syrian conflict and I truly believe that is the best way of understanding this troubled region I can't stress enough how important this is which is why I asked ground news to sponsor this video the blind spot page is where I browse the most they highlight all kinds of interesting stories that go under the radar of other media Outlets go to ground. news/ Caspian or scan the QR code on the screen to learn more subscribing through this link gets you 50% off the Vantage plan this

month either for yourself or to send as a gift to someone you know also by subscribing you're directly supporting my channel thank you ground news the link is below this video shows the destruction of Syria's helicopters fighter jets and related air defense systems but what you're also seeing is the opening move in a chess game Israel is turning Syria into what they call a sterile Defense Zone by doing so by removing Syria as a threat Israel is actually opening a corridor that sets the stage for a massive preemptive strike against Iran you see by destroying

virtually all of Syria's air defenses the aerial front line has shifted 600 to 700 km closer to Syria's eastern border Israel can now fly its tanker aircraft hundreds of kilometers further east which makes it possible for its fighter jets to fly to Iran and back without running out of fuel this wasn't possible before and it changes everything for added context Syria used to possess one of the world's most densely concentrated array of air defense batteries think of mid-tier Russian systems such as sa 17 sa 22 sa6 sa8 and sa5 batteries now while F35 Jets can

sneak past these systems tanker aircraft cannot and therein was the problem tanker aircraft are large slow and lack stealth even outdated anti-aircraft guns pose a threat to them heck the air defense systems Syria employed even posed a threat to f16s in 2018 Syria actually shot down an Israeli F-16 as the conflict between the two escalated so for Israeli tanker aircraft Syrian airspace was a no fly zone and this restrained the range of Israel's military options it was never really possible to conduct an air strike going from Israel to Iran and back the scale and distance

of such an operation didn't leave much room for error even now Israeli f-35s are restrained by this these Jets have a range of 2100 km give or take suppose Israel launched its f-35s from Ramat davit Airbase the trip to tan and back would be at least 3,000 km beyond the range of its Jets this doesn't even include the aerial maneuvers the aircraft would be making or the payload it would be carrying external fuel tanks are not an option either these would change the aircraft's geometric shape and reduce its stealth capabilities without stealth it would be

difficult to get past Iran's air defense systems which are some of the most advanced in the region so a large scale preemptive strike against Iran with the best odds of returning full numbers would have to be a stealth mission that means no external fuel tanks or even external missiles but for argument sake even with external fuel tanks the operational range for the F-35 would extend only to 2700 km that still falls short and so for Israel aerial dominance over Iran was never quite possible not without American involvement at least all that has changed now with

the neutralization of Syria's air defenses the Israeli Air Force says it has destroyed 80% of Syria's short to medium range sa 22 systems and 90% of its medium Range sa7 Systems again these were never a threat to Israel's f-35s but they were a threat to its tanker aircraft now with only a handful of air defense systems remaining in Syria Israel has effectively opened an aerial Corridor through which its Air Force can move freely across including its tanker aircraft the aerial front line has moved up by 600 to 700 km to Syria's Eastern Edge where Israel's

tanker aircraft can loiter and offset the distance for its fighter jets so Israeli Jets can now technically take off from Ramat David Airbase fly along the Syrian area IAL Corridor cross into Iraq and then fly into Iran to bomb and Destroy military and nuclear facilities upon completion the Jets would then return to Syrian airspace for refueling before heading back home if the Israelis feel particularly confident they can even carry out a decapitation strike targeting Iran's supreme leader and the irgc command so in short by taking out Syria air defenses Israel now has a window of

opportunity to launch a large scale preemptive attack on Iran's nuclear and Military infrastructure and this opportunity may be too good to miss with the incoming Trump Administration Netanyahu will likely Bank on the new military options on the table and look to persuade Trump to join him in attacking Iran even if Trump doesn't feel like it by the time of his inauguration Israel will have the means to go at it alone and then drag the United States into a war with its back against the wall Iran will now be racing to reinforce its proxy Hezbollah to

reestablish deterrent for years Israel and Iran held a stalemate that prevented full out War Iran had a network of proxies which it used as leverage against Israel the most powerful of these is Hezbollah based in Lebanon so if isra launched a large scale attack against Iran the Iranian leadership would give Hezbollah the go-ahead to reain fire down on Israel back in 2018 Hezbollah was estimated to have roughly 130,000 rockets and missiles in its Arsenal however in June 2024 an official from Iran's KS Force overseeing Hezbollah operations went on record saying that Hezbollah had more than

a million rockets and missiles true or not even the low end of this estimate is massive Firepower however Israel's recent decapitation strikes against Hezbollah have substantially downgraded the group's capabilities most of the rockets and missiles are still in Lebanon but hezbollah's command structure has been compromised maybe even Beyond repair we'll come back to this later but the point is that without the threat of Hezbollah Iran is left without deterrence so the Iranians will do their best to reinforce Hezbollah as swiftly as possible but there is a problem amidst the chaos in Syria Israel took the

liberty to create a buffer zone near the Golan Heights Southwest of Damascus while Syrian rebels marched on the capital Israeli units swiftly mobilized into Syria's abandoned positions in the Golan Heights and took them without a fight the Israeli leadership says the objective is to deter hostile forces from encroaching towards Israel and Netanyahu calls it a temporary operation but the territory they've taken is up to twice the size of Gaza and it's of such strategic importance that Israel is unlikely to leave the Syrian Army abandoned its positions we gave the Israeli Army the order to take

over these positions to ensure that no hostile Force embeds itself right next to the border of Israel this is a temporary defensive position until a suitable Arrangement is found you see one notable thing during that Golan height operation and this is another chess move is that the Israelis have silently conquered the Syrian side of Mount Hermon which Peaks at 2814 M altitude mountains tend to create blind spots for air defenses particularly radars in this case Mount Hermon had for decades overshadowed Israel's air defenses making it difficult to see beyond the mountains and into parts of

Lebanon low-flying planes and drones could exploit this blind spot allowing them to infiltrate Israel time and again that's likely how Iranian and Hezbollah drones infiltrated deep into Israel all the way into hia this same blind spot was also part of Iran's land bridge into Lebanon using the cover of Mount Hermon Iran was able to reinforce Hezbollah with resources right under Israel's nose things have changed now with the Israelis in control of Mount Hermon they will look to establish Radars on its Peaks which will allow them to see deep into both Syria and Lebanon as these

facilities are set up Israel will create an early warning system for incoming low-flying Jets and drones at the same time Israeli intelligence will be able to employ Mount Hermon to observe Iranian and Hezbollah movements the list of strategic applications goes on but the point is that with Mount Hermon under Israeli control Iran will have a hard time reinforcing Hezbollah any hostile movement in southern Lebanon and Syria will now be detected by the Israelis and come at the mercy of its aircraft drones and missiles hezbollah's new Chief said as much on Saturday saying that the group

had lost its Supply route through Syria but even if somehow Iran could reach Hezbollah through an alternative path it wouldn't do any good as mentioned before Hezbollah has been compromised deeply so weeks of backtack decapitation strikes have destroyed hezbollah's hierarchy as the group lost one leader after another one officer after another new members have been promoted to fill vacant ranks Israel's intelligence agency mad already had agents within hezbollah's lower ranks but with the decapitation strikes those low ranking agents were given the room to move up to higher positions that's how intelligence operations work and by

doing so for weeks on end it's safe to say Israel has thoroughly infiltrated Hezbollah so even if Iran were to reestablish ties to Hezbollah the group has too many leaks within to retain any operability and suppose Iran cannot find and remove the Israeli agents within Hezbollah it will only be a matter of time before the group loses its capabilities even with all the rockets and missiles it possesses what this all means is that without Hezbollah as a credible deterrence with the Israelis controlling Mount Hermon and with Syria's aerial Corridor in play War Looms on the

horizon there are now reports that Trump's team is considering preemptive air strikes against Iran but it's really Netanyahu who has made it possible in the first place he's basically handing Trump that option on a silver platter before long we could see 100,000 tons of diplomacy headed to Iran I've been your host Chon from caspan report thank you for your time and S [Music]