How Trump’s second term will be different

Donald Trump will become the 47th president of the United States I want to thank the American people for the extraordinary honor of being elected your 47th president and your 45th [Applause] president so I think we should start off by just saying what's happening and then my big question is going to be how should we be thinking about this we now know that Donald Trump is returning to the White House American voters have seen what Trump had to offer and at least a critical mass of them decided they want to do the same thing again I

called up some colleagues at Vox to ask what we should be making of this moment and I ended up spending a long time talking to Zach I'm Zach beum I'm a senior correspondent at Vox Zack writes about reactionary Politics the rightwing basically and the thing that he really wanted me to understand is that even though the outcome of this election is the same as the 2016 election the Trump who is about to become president is different Donald Trump is much more organized he knows what he's doing has a series of distinct policy objectives that he's

reiterated again and again it will be in a lot of ways fundamentally different than what we all lived through 4 years [Music] ago lock up the bbes lock up Hillary lock up the first time Trump was President he wanted to do all sorts of very controversial things and a lot of times he didn't actually end up doing them one big example is wanting his critics and political opponents to be prosecuted he was constrained by other parts of the political system the guard rails of democracy I'm Andrew proo I cover Politics the guard rails Encompass first

Congress and the courts but also within the executive branch you have Trump's own appointees for top positions who often last time around proved unwilling to carry out some of the things he wanted to do then you also have the permanent Civil Service career employees that he can't fire at will first of all the courts have grown more conservative and more Trump friendly since he put three of his own appointees in the Supreme Court Congressional Republicans have grown much more prot Trump trump and the people around him want hardcore magga true belie bels Staffing the government

who will not have these pesky qualms about legality or ethics or things like that and regarding the Civil Service Trump wants to use an executive order to reclassify thousands of people with civil service protections against firing as political appointees who he can fire to then put in a lot of magga loyalists in their place instead he's had four years to basically stew over you you know what he didn't get to do last time and uh what um he would do differently if he was given another chance and now he will seemingly get that chance we're

going to have the largest deportation in the history of our country the Mantra that Trump had on the border on 2016 was build the wall that was his centerpiece of his immigration platform that sort of changed over the course of his presidency and increasingly he wanted to turn his intention not to the Border but to the interior of the US the undocumented population here I'm Nicole Mara and I cover politics and immigration for Vox under Biden there were record levels of people arriving on the border we've seen those numbers come down significantly in 2024 but

when Americans are pulled large portions of them say that they want Mass deportations they might be thinking about people being deported immediately after they arrive on the border um but that's not what Trump's contemplating he's trying to go into communities across the US and and we're talking about people who have lived here you know for years and decades that would sort of involve huge investments in in law enforcement and also the cooperation of local law enforcement agencies which I'm not sure we would see necessarily in Democratic states but let's say in States like Texas in

Florida certainly you might find law enforcement willing to cooperate with Federal immigration authorities there a landmark decision in American history as it relates to Presidential Power when Trump initially took office the median vote on the Supreme Court was a moderate conservative someone who would draw the line somewhere then Trump appointed a third of the United States Supreme Court I'm Ian milhiser I cover the Supreme Court at Fox trumpy United States is the decision that came down last July concerning special prosecutor Jack Smith's um indictment of trump for trying to steal the 2020 presidential election ction

Trump made this really outlandish argument that he could not be charged with the crime for any official acts he committed while President pretty much everyone thought that that argument was silly and ridiculous and there was no chance that the court would ever adopt it and then all six of the Republican justices adopted it what that decision said it said that Donald Trump is immune from Criminal prosecution for crimes that he commits using the official powers of office Trump is allowed to give any any order he wants to the Department of Justice the basic matter is

just that anything he does can potentially be beyond the scope of the criminal justice process more than 40,000 Palestinians killed since the October 7th Hamas Massacre right now the situation on the ground in Gaza is an extraordinary humanitarian crisis and a moral stain on the United States uh for enabling so much of this to happen happen but it can always get worse Trump has a blank check approach to Israel he and his advisers don't believe in any of the even feeble restraints that the Biden administration had put on Israeli conduct there are factions inside the

Israeli government that have different visions of how to conduct the war the extreme right on netanyahu's flank people like bezel smotrich and itamar benir believe that Trump will let them do what they want based on what he said what his advisers say and what his political Coalition at home wants are you on board with the way the IDF is taking the fight to GA in Gaza you've got to finish the problem these people have a maximalist vision of what they want the war to be actually seizing and taking Gaza for Israel and returning to settlement

right to rebuilding Israeli outposts moving Israeli Jewish citizens in to make sure that its control over the area never slips that would mean not just temporary eviction of gazin from their homes and their cities which would be bad enough it would mean creating a massive permanent Refugee population outside of Gaza in the West Bank we can only imagine previous American position has been you shall not under any circumstances Annex parts of the West Bank it would be Israel declaring in essence its willingness to rule over the Palestinians in perpetuity what I do know for sure

is that a trump Administration would do nothing to punish them for it okay let's make this quick I'm Adam I produced this video I think it is fair to say this is a historic moment and one thing it shows is that we truly do not know uh what the future holds in these next four years journalism is going to be important uh things will be confusing it will sometimes be a struggle to know exactly what you should be paying attention to we would like to be a place that you come to have your biggest questions

answered whether on our YouTube channel our podcasts our newsletters our website our reporters like the ones that you have seen in this video their job is to point you to what actually matters if you believe in that mission the best way you can support it is by becoming a Vox member it supports all the work that we do at box and honestly it'll also probably just help us do more videos like this that are hopefully bringing you crucial information right when it is most valuable you can do that at box.com memberships thanks Trump declared he

would veto a National Abortion ban if he's reelected Trump winning the presidency is not good for abortion rights I mean he's been out there claiming that he's the father of IVF that he's going to be great for women's rights but he surrounds himself with lots of people who absolutely you know do not have that as their goal I'm Rachel Cohen I cover social policy at Vox and I've been really focused on abortion rights for the last two and a half years since R was overturned something that has been confusing for voters is that I don't

think we're going to see a federal ban coming out of Congress the biggest way that Trump could I think use his executive power to restrict abortion rights is to push for the enforcement of the comto act on the federal level the comto Act was this law passed in 1873 and among other things it banned mailing anything associated with abortion when the Supreme Court legalized abortion Nationwide the comto Act was rendered moot it didn't matter anymore but Congress never actually repealed it now that row has been overturned you have a bunch of conservatives including jdance who

are saying now is the time actually to enforce this zombie law that's been on the books for decades that people forgot about and we should ban anything associated with abortion from being sent in the mail so that could include not only abortion pills which are used in the majority of abortions in the US but it could also mean any medical equipment associated with you know surgical abortion like dilators or speculums that would effectively mean a nationwide ban on abortion some might say it's economic nationalism I call it common sense the thing about tariffs is that

the president has a lot of unilateral authority to impose them without congress's will I'm Eric Levitz and I write about politics and policy a tariff is basically a tax on an imported good usually the producer passes on the cost of that tax to Consumers um by charging higher prices to compensate for the tax Trump's signature proposal on tariffs in the 2024 campaign was a 10% tariff on All Foreign imports regardless of what country they come from and regardless of of what kind of good it is which includes things that the United States cannot possibly produce

there's no tax that you can put on foreign coffee beans that will make it possible to grow them in New England the general consensus from economists is that this is going to significantly increase prices for Americans as well as actually potentially undermining American manufacturing I think that in general voters tend to be sympathetic to any protectionist trade policy but I think that in practice as we've seen in the Biden years voters are very sensitive to increases in consumer prices on the other hand though this is something that Trump really genuinely seems to believe and hold

as a as a core economic principle really since the late 1980s we let Japan come in and dump everything right into our markets and everything it's not free trade put a 25% tax on Products that come into the United States so that means that Trump plausibly could enact this tariff even if a majority of republicans in Congress do not want him [Music] to it's time to put the divisions of the past four years behind us it's time to unite and we're going to try we're going to try we have to try in any democratic system

of government you need nonpartisan civil servants whose job it is to follow and implement the law a lot of that stuff is technical from National Parks Administration to the way the defense department has run to the way that we um protect and store our nuclear weapons Trump doesn't like this neutral rules of governance obstruct his ability to govern like a kind of machine politician who uses government as a tools of rewarding his friends and punishing his enemies that's why he hates what he calls the Deep State demolish the Deep State obliterate the Deep State dismantle

the Deep State we could be in a world where very swiftly because there are no legislative guardrails against this what if the IRS is now a fully political agency and audits start coming in along political lines businesses or media organizations that are critical of trump start being harassed using the tax code as a means of punishing them think about everything that you rely on government to do and now imagine those tasks being bent towards political ends Donald Trump is going to be the next president of the United States again and this time around we'll make

the first time look like Child's Play [Music]