The BIGGEST ALTCOIN SEASON EVER Starts In 🗓️ Days! [My Full Guide]

in today's video we're going to be answering two of the most important questions in crypto right now firstly when is Bitcoin going to top for this cycle I took a look through the data and I found some pretty amazing research which indicates an exact date that Bitcoin could potentially top and I'm going to share that with you and my analysis to hopefully help you better prepare your entries and exits in this borom the second question which I'm going to answer in today's video and I'm sure it's one that you all want to know is when

is true old season going to kick off obviously altcoins have been performing well but if you do look at the Bitcoin chart and the Bitcoin dominance chart you can see that Bitcoin has been outpacing altcoins significantly dominance is still on the rise so we still don't have the true makings of alt season yet when is that going to happen well I also have a framework in mind that I believe is going to create a massive alt season and there's a certain set of dates that I am eyeing for that to occur and today's video is

going to give you the analysis behind those dates so it's going to be a very practical show a shorter show and basically taking a look at how you can navigate this crypto cycle and I think it's going to be really really high impact for everyone especially new retail coming into the market to better understand where we currently sit especially those that weren't around around in the last uh couple of cycles and don't have as strong of a feeling for the timing of these Cycles which is obviously a super important part of the market in crypto

timing is everything unlike other markets because we go through such boom and bus Cycles relative to other Global markets timing is definitely an important part of portfolio management and an important part of crypto trading that you need to nail so hopefully this video helps you do that if you do enjoy analytical looks at the market like this if you enjoy deep Dives altcoin Alpha Etc make sure you subscribe to the channel and click that notification Bell because I'm uploading twice a day right now to give you the best Alpha in crypto in the mornings I'm

doing more of a market Focus SL like analytical data driven look at the market which is uh today's video and then later in the day I'm going to be uploading a little bit more of an altcoin focused video so that's basically how I'm running the channel right now um Market in the mornings and then alt coins later in the day pretty much and hopefully I hold you in really really good stad to absolutely smash the next leg of the cycle spoiler alert things are about to heat up and I'm going to show you the data

behind why so without further Ado let's get into the two questions when will Bitcoin top and when will the real alt season begin let's get into it firstly on the Bitcoin side of things when could Bitcoin top for the cycle well the first thing we got to understand is where is Bitcoin from a cycle perspective TimeWise so the most intriguing data point right now when I actually started digging into this data on crypto Quant was just how similar bitcoin's price action is this cycle compared to the past three bull runs so this chart in front

of you highlights the Bitcoin price performance from the Haring and as you can see below on the x axis here you can see the days from the Haring until the end of the cycle so you've got quadrant 1 2 3 and four you can see here the 2012 2016 2020 and 2024 Cycles have been following a very similar Playbook 20120 was the most explosive cycle in terms of its performance during the final quarter but all of the Bitcoin Cycles so far have had the most expansionary growth during that phase I guess the only anomaly is

maybe 2012 which had a really really strong runup and then a massive dip and then the Bull Run uh continued beyond that but I do find the data really interesting this is done on an index by the way which is percentage performance so it's not price performance in order to actually scale all of these Cycles to be on a Level Playing Field so percentage wise Bitcoin in 2012 had had a big run during this second quarter um but we can pretty much all agree that apart from that slight anomaly all of these cycles look very

similar in terms of their price action so what really stood out to me is the fact and you can see where we right now it's highlighted in red just how similar all these Cycles are so there's nothing to suggest so far of course you know there's different macro conditions each cycle and each cycle um Rhymes they don't repeat like even on the charts here you can see slight deviations like for example in 20 the 2024 cycle we had a very strong rally preh Haring and slightly after the Haring then we had a lull whilst other

Cycles had significant Optics like 2016 and 2012 but the the general fabric Rhymes across all of the cycles and there's nothing uh majorly concerning to suggest that the Final Phase is going to play out any differently this cycle versus previous Cycles in fact the similarities are astounding when you look at the charts so extrapolating this a little bit you can expect further upside and the most explosive upside in the Final Phase of the Bon which we are now technically in in terms of time frame from the Haring until when we've had previous cycle tops we're

going to get into the exact timeline in just a minute minute here this data is also evidenced via this chart that wct Capital posted and he basically divides Cycles up into three waves you have your expansionary wave you have your bearish wave so your compression range then you have another expansionary SL accumulation phase which happens preh harving then you have your final move which happens in the third phase of the cycle which is yeah your green phase um the cycle often uh after the harving starts with this green phase and it depends how you look

at it from phase one to and three has that major draw down accumulation and then uh the green phase ticks off again after the harving what you can assert from looking at this is that we are in the Final Phase or the first phase if you want to take it from the harving which is the green zone that you see us in here and this is the most explosive phase for Bitcoin where if you map our percentage performance you could be looking at anywhere from and we discussed this on yesterday today's video I did some

analysis with with Doc xbt who's a great Trader a 120k to potentially 160 170k Bitcoin just based on price performance the target would be around 160k if you want to look at other Cycles now maybe this time's different you know history doesn't repeat at Rhymes but uh you can definitely assert that there is more upside purely based on the price action that we are seeing which honestly is remarkably similar from 2016 2020 and 2024 again so time and time again you know people fade the cycles and at points even I've been skeptical of the Cycles

but if you just want a framework for what to roughly expect during the different phases of the market honestly they've been remarkably accurate you can go a little bit further into this data so in this cycle Bitcoin broke out to new all-time highs around 205 days after the Haring historically Bitcoin tends to Rally to new alltime highs around 2 um sorry 214 days after the harving so very similar actually within 9 days of of previous cycle averages thus Bitcoin broke out 9 days earlier which is at the remaining rate of acceleration in this cycle so

taking the data even further and breaking it down into those phases we can assert that Bitcoin Is On Track cool so if it is on track when could you roughly expect a cycle top now firstly I want to say that this is obviously going to change and there are macro factors which can change things slightly so don't take this as the law there are exceptions to the rule and as we get closer to a potential top things may change however I think it's nice to look at this data because it gives you a bit of

a rough idea as to when you can expect a top you're never going to time it exactly but if you have a rough idea then you know that in the leadup or the months surrounding that potential date you can start to go a little more risk off and in the months prior to that you can still maintain a bit of a risk on stance towards the market the fact that you can never time the top means that you need to take a DCA approach in my opinion in and out of the market because those that

try and time it exactly and you might have a price Target like I want Bitcoin to hit 150k and then I'm going to sell everything that can get you wrecked last cycle I got really wrecked doing this I remember I had this target of 100K Bitcoin right and that was a lot of people's targets at the time and I was like look I'm going to be smart you know everyone thinks bitcoin's going to 100K so I'm going to front run that at 80k and I had this whole plan around how I was going to sell

half of my portfolio or 70% of my portfolio when Bitcoin hit 80k because that was going to be front running the market right what happened Bitcoin hit 70k so the really Savvy investors in the market they were already starting to to go more risk off and lad out of the market in the leadup to the expected all-time high so if you see a number that starts floating around and I think we're going higher than 100k this cycle I mean the poly Market odds are suggesting a 54% probability of 100K by end of year let alone

next year but assuming you know we're at 100K and everyone's calling for 150 maybe just start lading out between 100 and 150 slowly obviously not trying to go fully riskof especially because ults really perform in that last bit of the cycle we're going to discuss that today about when that major old season could happen but don't rely on that number I find when people stick to numbers exactly that's often when you get burnt and I actually don't believe in price Targets in this market you know it's funny cuz it's a common question I get asked

a lot about miles what's your price target for salana Miles what's your price target for Phantom miles what's your price target for this and that I don't really believe in price targets I think the best profit taking strategy is incrementally taking a percentage a predetermined percentage off the table for every interval increase in price what do I mean if you have 50% intervals on a coin you might say okay every time NE protocol goes up 50% I take 20% of my bag off the table every time salana goes up 100% I take half my bag

off the table table obviously for you know an asset like salana or Neo the intervals will be smaller like you know 30 40 50 60% for a mem coin yeah it might be you know I take half my bag out every 2x but having that plan surrounding a potential alltime high is really important so what could the potential alltime High be for Bitcoin and then we'll get into altcoins well the cycle top date prediction changes based on whether you're taking it from the cycle end so the bottom the Haring or the all-time high break but

there are some dates that I mapped out on a spreadsheet here to help you we have the 27th of June based on the last two cycles bottoms we have the 13th of May based on the last three Cycles bottoms so that gives you an idea either May or June so mid year if you take it from the harving date that extends the ball run a little bit to August and September so the 29th of September for the last two cycles the 8th of August for the last three Cycles keep in mind that the first cycle

I think was very fundamentally different I actually prefer the two cycle length stter because there as I mentioned there were a lot of outliers that happened in the 2012 cycle because it was just new and there wasn't as much accessibility and the altcoin market didn't really exist but still you know you can average it and take it into account the numbers are very similar we're only about a month off I think the common trend is if you B Bas it on three Cycles data the data is slightly earlier if you base on the last two

cycles the data is slightly later this is where it gets interesting the earliest prediction for a cycle top and this is a scenario you have to be aware of it actually lines up with the Trump inauguration as well finally um if you take the all-time high break to cycle top so the first break not the full breakout so the initial breakout the top would be the 13th of January if you take the all-time high break from the last three Cycles based on on a full breakout the top would be the 23rd of August the data

I am seeing is mostly pointing to because you have what six data points here five out of the six are pointing to between May and September that period so the Q2 Q3 period of the market there is an outlier which is January keep that in mind and we have Trump's inauguration and I've said this before I think we see a little bit of a sell off around then buy the rumor sell the news but that's not when I expect the top to be just based on the current uh available information that we have and the

ba uh and the basic like pacing of this cycle I'm more so expecting something more in line with this midyear prediction so hopefully that gives you a bit of an idea and just to summarize things on the Bitcoin front before we head into alts if you take it based on cycle length Q2 2025 could be a potential Peak zone for Bitcoin if you base it on the Haring date Q3 2025 could be a potential top for Bitcoin and if you base it on the first and the full all-time high breaks that averages Q3 2025 these

are the Rangers that you need to keep in mind so by definition that means we are not late to the ball run we're not late to the party especially for alts we're going to go through alts in a minute you'll see we're not late at all but we're definitely not early early like early was um earlier this year 2023 accumulation I would say is early because that's preh harving when you go into the post harving environment that's the expansionary phase of the market it's where the market tends to accelerate and by definition of this acceleration

it means you're not early to the market but in terms of altcoins you're certainly not late to the Run either because 80% of the gains each cycle happen in the last 20% time WIS of the cycle just keep in mind with Bitcoin as I mentioned earlier the timing of the top will become much more apparent closer to the event so in q1 based on the price action we're going to know whether momentum is stalling and maybe we target one of those earlier targets like towards the back end of q1 or Q2 or maybe momentum looks

great Market structure looks great really healthy not overleveraged and is growing really nicely you've had flush outs and and and it keeps the market sustainable if that's the case then you then you probably start to push that Target back to some of the dates that I showed you in uh August September potentially so that is it's just going to depend on the price action at the time but it gives you a little bit of a gauge it gives you a a very healthy gauge in my opinion and obviously if you're subscribed to this channel I

upload twice a day right now so I'm going to be keeping you updated if anything changes like the second we get a Bitcoin breakdown I'm going to tell you that I'm drisking and um if you're watching all of these videos I don't think it's possible for you to be completely left behind just keep that in mind if if as we continue to go through the cycle like um if you do watch this video now uh maybe check in on my channel slightly later in the cycle right I I don't want you to just watch this

video and then just forget about it and then go really risk on and go crazy come back here subscribe so so you have a tab on it come back here or bookmark this whatever you need to do you don't need to watch every video of course I recommend it if you want Alpha but at the very least in a couple of months just check back in especially around January because uh I may have seen some signs on the indicators that I use the money noodle is one of them as you can see in front of

you which is my general bull market band this is a custom indicator that's in the MS high club this is still looking really bullish this is great structure but what could happen is this could move up over time right as it does in order to match the current momentum of Bitcoin and then you could see like a breakdown starting to happen and I'm going to update you as soon as that break happens uh obviously you you'll get it in real time if you are part of the M high club and you have the indicator so

I'm going to keep you updated on all of that there's also High time frame Confluence that you can paare with the moving averages in order to get General and the rsis drisk indicators uh for the macro top and for momentum actually stalling in the cycle which we'll look at closer to the day so that's question one answered you have an idea of timing let's assume Bitcoin is set let's take the average for a cycle top sometime B next year so Q2 Q3 what about altcoins when will they perform assuming Bitcoin Peaks midy year will altcoins

rally now are they going to Rally after Bitcoin so later next year is the big rally going to front Run is it going to happen in q1 let's now take a deep dive into the altcoin market and this is where things get really interesting and I think this is where the biggest profit is for Market participants if you do want a little bit more handholding on the altcoin side in the M high club I'm posting setups we have information Alpha and education happening around the clock we have six full-time contributors plus two moderators who are

here to help you professional Traders and analysts that are looking into small caps and are helping you manage risk so if you do want more handholding in terms of alts we also have seven Live Events amas and tutorial sessions per week we're absolutely smashing it in that group I do recommend checking it out because it's going to help you in terms of actually managing your risk this cycle it's one thing buying alts the other thing is actually managing those positions getting good entries and exits and you can see the profits across the community being absolutely

insane recently the other thing is I give all my Alpha calls so my altcoin gems especially the low to midcaps in the Discord first so you can see the alpha channel here I want to give you my two most recent examples examples I called neural 3 days ago at $6 the price Wicked up to $9 but it's now $870 so that is a nice roughly 40% gain for members then yesterday I called EMP which I said I was adding on the dip at $72 if you look at EMP now it's up 35% to $91 so

I'm very active with my new altcoin Alpha in the group yes I end up talking about these coins a lot of the time on the YouTube channel later but if you want the early Alpha there's actually a meme coin that I'm talking about very very soon that I'm excited to share because I think it's going to absolutely fly if you want the early Alpha join the miles high club there's a link in the description below and come be a part of the community it's an amazing community and look there obviously is a monthly price attached

but literally one of those trades over the last two days would have made your monthly membership back in a day so I mean at the current rate of the trades that we're hitting the price of emission in my opinion is really low relative to the value in there and I think based on the reviews and based on um all of the feedback that we've gotten the testimonials everyone loves being in the group and and and are all super positive and are finding it really valuable and that's why our churn rate's also really low so yeah

let's get into the rest of the video now which is the altcoin section of the video so when can altcoins potentially outperform the first thing I want to assert is you know where are we in terms of altcoin season what is altcoin season firstly altcoin season is when you get a continuous period of out performance on alts versus Bitcoin so altcoin season is is this chart in front of you basically like a stochastic like a momentum um indicator that gauges when the market is capitalizing so liquidity flowing into alts versus Bitcoin right now we aren't

in full Bitcoin season like we were earlier in the year but we aren't in altcoin season either we're closer to bitcoin season than we are altcoin season the real old season fun doesn't happen until you see something like this I'll go back to 2021 to show you this was a period from March to May so two and a bit months where ults were highly elevated in terms of our performance so far this cycle we only saw like a week in January where that was the case and even during the march top we only saw like

a little bounce because Bitcoin was still performing so well so the fun doesn't really begin until you see the upper range of altcoin season starting to be broken and we often only stay there for a couple of months so when I talk about alt season I'm talking about that period in the market where you see ults outperforming on a consistent basis for weeks and for months and it's not just when it's above this blue line that alts perform this is also really high 59 60 70 like in this period you know you're already making like

four 5 6X games on alts and then during this period That's when you're making you know those crazy crazy crazy gains and Al so we haven't seen it yet and what's interesting is we've seen a a slight uptick from Bitcoin season to altcoin season but we're only still at 33 and you already have a lot of quality alts outperforming Bitcoin I'm willing to bet that if you've been following this channel this year and you're capitalized in the coins that I speak a lot about like especially the meme coins the AI coins now are performing you

know really well again and the infrastructure plays that a lot of us capitalized in you're probably already now starting to outperform Bitcoin now there was a strong chance during the downtrend that you underperform Bitcoin 100% but the second that the mark started uh the market started to get some momentum again and Bitcoin up ticked you're probably already beating Bitcoin so you don't actually need a full-blown altcoin season to make more money in the market than if you are holding Bitcoin you can still outperform in this environment as the market starts to uptick but obviously that

period of Rapid out performance happens when all season occurs so that is what all season is that is where we currently are tldr there's still a lot of headro for growth when will this happen well I have a very simple indicator that I'm looking at this is honestly the simplest way to quantify it for you old season will not happen until Bitcoin dominance has a consistent period of downtrend right now dominance is on the rise it just made a new all-time high today and you see the money noodle here which is our our indicator in

the Discord it's being adhered to in terms of upward structural momentum for Bitcoin you can see it's been bouncing off the indicator you can see it's continued to make higher highs and higher lows and it's been in an uptrend Channel it actually just broke out of the channel if you if you kind of want to draw it in roughly you can assert and I'm just doing a really rough drawing here that it's actually starting to break out of this channel to the upside which is absolutely insane like dominance is only going from strength to strength

the altcoin market will not Rally until Bitcoin does this and actually breaks down on this breakdown right and this will be a structural break down so it'll be a lower low and it will be a break of this noodle indicator that's when dominance can go from 60% to 50% and it's on this Wick which can play out over a matter of months and weeks that Bitcoin really outperforms in the market so the answer is altcoin season will happen when dominance breaks down now I spoke to Doc on yesterday's show and his theory is that until

proven otherwise dominance will keep going up maybe to 64% until the end of the year so you might see something like this and then he thinks momentum is going to start to shift when you get that breakdown that's when you'll see altcoins really outperform and if you look at the past cycles that is that's what's happened it's basically been the the way that alt Cycles um basically come about right so look at 2021 for example look at what happened here this is exactly what I'm talking about so you have the uptrend on dominance you had

a you had a bit of a fake out you had a squeeze to the upside dominance hit 73% and then you had the breakdown and it was on this breakdown which occurred in February 21 that you had this multi-month leg of altcoins outperforming so we are looking for this breakdown that replicated in this cycle is is what the altcoin um season indicator is going to be so it's going to happen at some point I think it's going to happen potentially in q1 we're already seeing altcoins perform well but Bitcoin is still king and the thing

is right at this stage in the cycle Bitcoin outperforming is actually a really healthy thing for the altcoin market you need a healthy Bitcoin to set the stage for a sustainable and a bigger altcoin run why because liquidity capitalizes in Bitcoin then it moves down the risk curve because once Bitcoin hits 100K 120k 13k 14 let's say even 150k retail feels like they've missed a Bitcoin boat and it's going to be in the news it's going to be everywhere right everyone's going to be talking about Bitcoin and crypto so they're going to go into the

more speculative playgrounds they're going to go into the meme coins they're going to go into the AI coins and all the alts that only happens I think in true alt season fashion until Bitcoin breaks 100K because this is really just the warmup which means Bitcoin can keep going higher we still need it to push 100 we still need it to maintain price discovery which it is so everything's healthy right now it looks great and that old season is going to happen once Bitcoin really reaches Mass exposure and then you're going to see Bitcoin Wales moving

down the risk curve and people that are profitable on their Bitcoin trades but also that new speculative Capital feeling like they miss Bitcoin Co and jumping into alt which creates that shift and if you look at Ben Cowen who's another analyst who I respect he's been spot on regarding Bitcoin dominance this cycle he basically asserts that if the same pattern repeats from 2020 and 2021 then you probably expect a shift into altcoins in early 2025 because last cycle Bitcoin continued to outperform towards the end of 2020 which was the harving year this year 2024 is

a harving year TS finally took the Spotlight as you saw in the dominance chart that I showed you in January and February 2021 so if you extrapolate that data you're looking at that happening in q1 which gives you a couple months basically to prepare for that eventuality and just like the altcoin season index the speculation index is also super low it's at 21% last cycle in 2021 we hit 90% at the altcoin season peak so we still have another 70% to grow on the speculation index which is an index that is measured by the percentage

of all coins with 90day returns greater than Bitcoin only 21% of the market is outperforming Bitcoin right now at some point that will shift and that's where you get a big alt season and on the topic of alt season I think it's going to be really explosive because we've barely moved I mean if you look at the performance from the bottom of the money noodle to where we currently are that's a 25% gain even a breakout of this range to previous altcoin market cap all-time high which is around a trillion takes us up 40 46%

that's double what we've currently moved and I expect that this cycle because there's more liquidity and Bitcoin is much higher you'll see a stronger wealth effect and speculative effect into alts which probably means your target can be between 1.5 to 2 trillion I'm conservative I've seen people saying 3 trillion even at 1 and a half trillion that's 92% guys we've been making 2 three 4 x's on some coins in the last 20% move what happens if we go up 90% like we're literally got a 10 our portfolios now I'm not saying that's a given right

that's definitely not a given my first Target is previous alltime high that is my first realistic Target but I'm just giving you an idea for how much upside is left and it's important perspective because I'm seeing a lot of people saying oh you've missed the old coin run it's too late yes you have to be careful with your entries at this point in the cycle yes you should be aiming to buy dips yes Implement risk management if you want more tips on risk management Watch yesterday's video at the especially the second half of the video

I go through each altcoin and I look at you know how I would enter a coin like T um spectral how I would enter a coin like uh what else did I speak about some of the AI coins salana Phantom Aptos I went through my actual entry plans for those coins using the money noodle indicator and how I would manage risk also lining that up with Confluence on the horizontal support and resistance levels but the the tldr is you need to be strict with risk management but there is a lot more upside still from a

macro perspective for allcoins this cycle and if you do look at others BTC as well as well um in line with Bitcoin dominance it it's making almost lower lows like it has started to bounce a little bit but it hasn't flipped the noodle so you're not in a bullish altcoin Market environment others by the way is the uh altcoin index excluding the top 10 and this is charted against Bitcoin to give you a feel for its relative performance and basically Bitcoin is still the king it's still outperforming so once you start to see this flip

of this level and this uptrend for alts that's when you can start to look at that alt season occurring and even this Scribble has that happening in q1 uh to Q2 next year so that is my general feeling and alts and until then it's a game of accumulating on dips liquidation Cascades and and positioning in quality alts that you have conviction in that is the important point that I want to make you should only be buying now the coins that you have real conviction in because there are going to be shakeouts there are going to

be dips it's not going to be easy to hold until the end of the cycle right it seems easy now CU everything's going up it won't be easy so make it easier on yourself by only holding coins that you actually have conviction and fundamentally believe in I might speak about 30 coins on the channel right you don't have to buy every coin do some more research you know take what I say with a grain of salt do some more research work out if you're also bullish and position accordingly create a basket of 10 to 15

assets not a huge portfolio last cycle I was over Diversified that's one thing that really wrecked me create a portfolio of 10 to 15 assets that you have high conviction in build them up on dips Implement risk management for each coin based on technicals and you're going to be in a much better position to do really well this cycle because you're not going to be holding on to stuff that you just Jeet out of every time the market moves because you don't have real conviction some of the sectors I have a lot of conviction in

as I discussed yesterday AI meme coins meme coins infra uh defi so rwa coins these are the types of narratives I think are going to perform really well narrative is King in this cycle and in every cycle because it's an attention economy and where attention go um where attention goes liquidity flows so price is going to follow attention and mind share and that's I believe meme coins have pretty much the strongest bull case in the market alongside AI coins and that's because they have such strong attention and we've seen it replicated in the price action

that's why I think for the remainder of the cycle those are some of my really high upside bets and whenever I add a new coin um from either of these sectors I'm going to share it in my Alpha Channel first for example as I said here I found a new meme that I'm going to be talking about within the next probably 24 hours so if you do join the M high club today you're going to get access to the early Alpha on that Meme and I think it's going to do really really really well I

think it's going to get big exchange listing soon and uh is really undervalued based on market cap so Link in the description below that alone probably pays for your monthly membership if the trade pans out obviously you know I can't guarantee that you're going to make money on every single trade but uh we have a good track record and um I mean I don't really need to say it anymore come and see for yourself if uh if you want to be a part of that Community hope you enjoyed this video subscribe if you still haven't

subscribed after watching the whole video if you're still here now you're a real one I respect your loyalty and support this cycle we're going to absolutely smash it together have a lovely rest of your day I'll see you later today for my second video of the day peace out