From the Frontlines in Ukraine to Truth Social || Peter Zeihan

everybody Peter Zan here coming to you from Colorado a lot of you've been asking with good reason uh for update on what's going on in Ukraine and let's split into what I know and then just what else uh what I know is what's going on in the front which is weird because usually that's the hard part uh the ukrainians ability to jam the Glide systems for something called Glide bomb has really gotten good now if you go back about a year year and a half ago one of the things I was really worried about is

that the uh Russians were dropping these massive in some cases over 1,000 kogam bombs uh with glide kits on them Glide kits like what the United States has been using with our jdam system since the first golf War back in you know the early 1990s which was giving them a range of 20 30 miles beyond the point that they drop the weapon and the Mig that drops it just veers off and you it's safe uh and then you get a blast radius sometimes is like a third of a mile uh just absolutely demolishes any sort

of fixed fortification and stuns the out of the Defenders and then the Russians would come in with one of their meat assaults and in doing this they were able to take over the Fortress city of aifa last year and were're closing on prros uh this year and if they had seized prros and they're just a few miles away uh that would have basically broken the Ukrainian line in the daboss it's the middle of a series of fortifications and it's a logistics Hub so if with picr they can go north and south up the line without

Perros they have to go back a few dozen miles to get to another line to transport things up in back and forth uh for the ukrainians they try to keep this war as a war of movement because they have fewer troops and better troops whereas the Russians are more a stagnant fighter and so they can engage in more points just not as well uh so if the ability of the ukrainians to move had been inhibited it would have been a real problem uh the jamming seems to have made the tactic that the Russians were using

for the last year less and less effective and that's kind of Piece One Piece two is the ukrainians have using not necessarily new technology just to PL a little bit differently determin another uh strategy for mucking up with the Russians Logistics uh not just going after things like fuel supplies or ammo dumps and things like that but they look for an important intersection that the Russians have and they take out a couple Vehicles there and then a couple days later they take out a few more and a couple days later a few more and eventually

you get this um carcass field of vehicles that the Russians are forced to send out things like tow trucks and then you hit the tow trucks and so you just get this ever mounting line of vehicle depri that forces the Russ to detour ever further around if they go through the fields they might have to deal with the mud season that is Ukraine is so famous for in the fall and in the spring uh and in the other Seasons eventually gets so chook they have to use other transport options Al together uh these two things

together have basically stalled the attack on prros and even the Russian counterattacks on K and the case of prros have even allowed the ukrainians to Counterattack a little bit not saying that the danger is passed but it's a it's a different kind of fight fight now so that's that's the military look at the moment uh diplomatically everything's all over the place uh let me show you this little thing from truth social that's Donald Trump's personal version of social media uh this is what he posted last week about zinsky when zalinski said that Trump was living

in a Russian disinformation bubble which he is and it's proven by this uh document here uh everything that's highlighted in red is something that is an oldie but goody from Russian propaganda going back the last 3 years these are the points that Russian propagandas have been hitting on uh month after month after month after month uh the yellow ones those are things that were new uh when Trump was reelected or elected the second time probably a better way to phrase that uh the Russians changed the tenor of a lot of their propaganda to appeal to

Trump personally basically they took Trump's lies and they made some of those integrate with their own and these yellow parts are some of the newer propaganda but what really had the Russians salivating when this truth social post comes out are the bits I've circled because these are Trump's words uh these are not things that were plucked wholesale from Russian disinformation instead they're places where the Trump has the Trump there are places where Trump has taken Uh Russian dis information and put it in his own words whenever Trump uses quotes or all caps that's him channeling

himself You by guns anyway uh and so the Russians see this and they're just giddy cuz getting getting a foreign leader uh any sort of foreign policy maker to use Russian disinformation is always a win but when the foreign policy maker is using the updated stuff and putting in their own words that that's kind of the gold standard for Espionage basically getting the other side to do things your way for you but them thinking it's all their idea so when this came out I was kind of like what the hell is going on he's like

I know that Donald Trump has gutted the upper echelons at the defense department in the CIA and the FBI and he's appointed someone who's a Russian agent to basically be his Premier intelligence filterer uh but the idea that he would just be so out of it as to just wholesale garble down and then regurgitate back Russian propaganda um had me really worried and then on a week later on Thursday Donald Trump when he was when somebody asked him about what he said in this specifically uh zilinsky being a dictator he says did I do that

I don't think I said that he just kind of moves on so I the number one thing to remember about Trump is a track record means nothing consistency means nothing whatever comes out of his or goes through his head comes out his mouth there is no consistency he changes his mind all the time I don't mean to say that this is a good thing but it means that no matter what you think about what Trump is or what he says it'll change tomorrow the Ukraine war to this point has been one of the most Dynamic

conflicts in history I never expected the ukrainians to do so well I never expected the Russians to do so bad I never expected the Europeans to get involved I never expected the Americans to get involved this war has been one surprise after another and that's before you consider that the technology of the conflict is evolving so quickly as we move from the Industrial Age into the digital age and the rise of drones and probably in the not too distant future AI systems courtesy of Donald Trump The Diplomatic side of the Ukraine war is now just

as Dynamic and so everybody no matter whose side you're on buckle up it's about to get a lot rockier and a lot weirder quick addendum on the 28th of February that's Friday uh zilinski the president of Ukraine was in the white house to meet with Donald Trump um and it ended with Donald Trump basically condemning Ukraine and saying that zalinski wasn't ready for peace and blah blah blah whatever um what was more interesting to me is that these weren't behind the scenes negotiations but instead were held in uh the White House live in front of

the press Corp uh and Trump changed US policy probably five times in the conversation so I really don't think we're done with this at all uh it's just simply uh how the United States makes policy these days and your guess as to what is next out of the Trump White House is as good as mine which of course is a problem for anyone on the other side of the Atlantic who actually has to plan the future of their Nations around what comes out of Washington