How Long Will The Bitcoin Bull Market Last?

how long will the Bitcoin bull market last in today's video we're going to be focusing on the historical price tendencies that we tend to see in bitcoin's price history across Cycles to better understand what we can expect in this current parabolic phase of the cycle so subscribe to the channel for more videos like this in the future like this video if you enjoy content like this going forward and let's dive right into it so the harving end of itself as a reference point for Price tends to act as a bit of a mirror 500 17

days before the harving we saw a bare Market bottom occur in bitcoin's price action and if you actually take this same amount of time and just copy paste it after the Haring you'll notice that that also of course resembles 58 days and really if we go back to as far as 2016 it took 547 days before the harving for Bitcoin to Bare Market bottom here and then it took price a rough roughly the same amount of time for Bitcoin to top out in its ball cycle that was 58 days after the cycle and if we

just do this also in the 2020 cycle you'll notice that 58 17 days before the harving is where Bitcoin peaked in its or at least bottomed in its bare Market apologies and then 550 days after the Haring is where we saw that final bull market Peak so you can see that this harving is a mirror almost Picture Perfect always 30 days rounding eror or so but that just gives us a lot of insight into the fact that if we're going to do the same thing here in this cycle then we'll see a post harving move

518 days after the Hing is where we finally see that bull market Peak and so the 20 20 Cycle is quite similar to this 2024 cycle and here's why because in 2020 it took before having 517 days for Bitcoin to bottom in its bare market and then it took 549 days after the having for Bitcoin to Peak in its bull market and just notice how whenever there's a 547 period there's a 518 period so you can see 517 here and then we see that peak in 540 550 days after the harving so 2020 is similar

to 2024 because 517 days before the harving is where Bitcoin bare Market bottomed and that was the same amount of time in 2024 and as a result if this continues then just like in the 2020 cycle it may take Bitcoin actually 550 days to top out in its cycle so we have those two options 518 or 550 and of course that gets us to September 2025 or October 2025 but that's really compelling isn't it and we notice that when we break Beyond old alltime highs that's when the parabolic phase of the cycle begins and you

can see that this of course took a few weeks before we finally broke into that parabolic phase of the cycle here for example in this cycle we just broke into the parabolic phase of the cycle that first wave of price Discovery didn't have to consolidate too much and then we saw the parabolic phase of the cycle Peak finally and then we've just seen this parabolic phase of the cycle just begin right now this is really one of the first few weeks first week or two in the parabolic phase of the cycle for Bitcoin breaking Beyond

old alltime High so this phase has only just begun and this orange circle represents the fact that we're only in this moment in the cycle we're essentially at the very beginning of that parabolic phase in the cycle We've Only Just Begun it and in fact if we tried to just better understand these parabolic phases then of course in the 2017 cycle we saw this sort of fantastic runup but we did see diminishing returns in the run up afterwards in the next cycle and in fact it was slightly longer wasn't it in terms of time for

the bull market Peak to occur so if we were to do the same thing here of course we have to really accommodate for the fact that there's going to be a diminishing return and it's difficult to assess how much of a diminishing return that's going to be if we want to be really cutthoat about it that and essentially cut it in half this is essentially what that parabolic phase of the cycle could look like that still gets us above 100K into 120 130k or so and if we say to ourselves that this parabolic phase in

a cycle is going to be similar amount of time then we do have quite a bit of time left to enjoy and that's going to be a time period of some 300 days in the parabolic phase of the cycle cuz remember we saw consolidation for 200 days and it tends to be the case that this overall post Haring period where Bitcoin tends to enjoy its exponential rally to new alltime highs in price Discovery this overall period lasts 518 550 days so if this reaccumulation phase lasted 200 days then we have 300 days or so with

a bit of cushion there to en enjoy this parabolic phase in the cycle and if we account for diminishing returns then this really is that sort of these are really realistic parameters on how to operate when it comes to understanding bitcoin's parabolic fease in the market cycle so we're going to see multiple weeks of upside for multiple weeks before we see the first sort of Correction here and you'll notice that even in 2017 as well we see a correction in this parabolic phase of the cycle but those Corrections simply enable further price appreciation towards the

upside so this is a chart that just showcases to us all the different phases in the Bitcoin harving cycle and just like we've seen in 2016 we'd see that preh harving rally we'd see the prehab retrace the reaccumulation phase and then that Final parabolic Phase in the cycle 2020 as well preh Haring rally into a preh Haring retrace and then consolidation into reaccumulation and then the parabolic phase in the cycle and for those who have been following the channel we've really been doing very well in terms of assessing the preh Haring top and preh Haring

rally here the pre Haring retrace which went a little bit deeper than expected based on historical Tendencies but we did see that reaccumulation phase play out as well it was a longer reaccumulation phase by standards of history but here we are in in the parabolic phase of the cycle once again only just beginning it and here we can see that the bull market top based on what we've seen in the past is mid-september to Mid October 2025 because simply put it takes Bitcoin 518 days after having to bull market Peak that was the case in

2017 and in 2020 it was a little bit longer 550 days after having so if we're going to essentially just do this then it gives us a bit of a cushion of 30 days or so that we might see midt to Mid October 2025 in terms of a bull market Peak and so we are in the Final Phase of the Bitcoin cycle the post harving parabolic upside phase and it is quite an extensive phase you can see that this tends to last quite a bit of time and 300 days or so is something we can

roughly expect and it's the Final Phase in the cycle but in the next few videos and in fact in one of my previous videos I spoke about how this parabolic phase in a cycle also has some of its phases it has that first parabolic price Discovery wave then it has that first price Discovery correction if you'd like to check that video out feel free to check out of course but we'll be talking about those price Discovery waves and Corrections in a lot of detail just so we understand what lays ahead over this next 300 day

period or so so that we can navigate the market successfully together make the most most of this once in a once every 4 years essentially is when we see this parabolic phas in a cycle so it's really an opportunity to make the most of so check out the link in the description down below to sign up to direct capital newsletter for levelheaded insights Cutting Edge analysis that will help you make the most of the cycle that's about it for the video like this video if you enjoy content like this going forward subscribe to the YouTube

channel for more videos like this in the future capital and I'll speak to you in the next one speak to you soon