"AI Is About To Make You Irrelevant" (How To Get Ahead & Future-Proof Yourself)

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Dan Koe
A lot of people are talking about how all human jobs will be replaced. The truth is, nobody knows wh...
Video Transcript:
okay we need to talk about this last week open aai announced their new model 03 and Tech Twitter went absolutely insane there's a lot of talk about it online and if you don't know how to make sense of it all then it can lead to you feeling pretty uncertain about the future so what's so special about 03 first off it scored with 87.5% accuracy on the ark AGI Benchmark which is a significant improvement from previous models and as you can see the graph it's going exponential now without the model even being out yet there's just
been more talk online about what's been being talked about which is that jobs won't exist in 2 to 5 years there's different time ranges that people are talking about could be 2 years could be 5 years could be 10 years depends on how you view the situation because we don't know the future now the main questions I'm interested are will we be considered insects to our AGI overlords if AGI can do everything humans can and more what the do we do if jobs won't exist what do we focus on if we want to thrive so
I've been studying this for a few years now trying to make sense of it in my own head and of course you get flooded with a bunch of different perspectives so I've collected the ones that I believe are one the most optimistic and two the ones that just make the most sense so I hope that I can give a positive Viewpoint of this and allow you to make better decisions going into the future because right now your behavior matters more than ever sitting around and doing nothing that is going to lead where it would have
led in the first place and has been leading so if you're doing nothing then please do something but this is for those that want to do something now there is a difference between Ai and AGI AI is the thing that we have right now some people call it a ni which is artificial narrow intelligence and AGI is artificial general intelligence which depending on the definition means that it is on par with human capabilities it can do the same things that humans can do so to understand AI first we need to understand the origin of that
term if we want to understand what it means for us so before the term AI there was the term cybernetics which was popularized or just talked about by Norbert weer in 1948 in his book cybernetics cybernetics the term is ancient Greek for helmsmen or another word for governor and it's the idea of automatic self-regulating control in a system acting sensing and comparing to a goal is a fundamental Loop to intelligent systems now his key Insight was that the world should be understood in terms of information that complex systems like organisms brains and societies error correct
toward a goal and if those feedback loops break down the system breaks down in other words entropy so the the easiest and most simple way to understand cybernetics is think of if you are the captain of a ship and you are heading toward a lighthouse you're trying to get to to the lighthouse and the wind blows you off course to the left so you steer right and then you Veer too far right so you steer left and you error correct to get to the specific goal if you're an unintelligent system or an unintelligent person you're
going to get blown off to the left and then you're going to keep going to the left and you're not going to reach the lighthouse we talked about this in my video how to become more intelligent than 99% of people and this cybernetics alone is illustrative of naval's quote the only real test of intelligence is that you get what you want out of life so as we'll discuss error correcting toward a goal is really just how you get what you want out of life the problem is the difference between Ai and AGI where AI they
it isn't the governor of its own system you still have to assign it the context the goal the everything else in order for it to do what it does the main Mark of AGI in my mind is the ability to discover unknown goals and pursue those goals through error correction in other words AGI is the governor of its own system now here's the important part 2 years after Weiner's introduction to cybernetics he published the human use of human beings this book is now out of print but the central idea relevant to today's world is that
we must cease to kiss the whip that lashes us weiner knew the danger was not in machines becoming more like humans but humans being treated like machines does that sound familiar so this is what AI is it's a cybernetic system that needs a governor it needs to be assigned the goal so what we know as AI today in its current manifestation which is pretty much chat apps like chat GPT and agents are becoming a thing and swarms are becoming a thing they're just very they're not very common or in the public eye but for the
general use case that most people use it for which is to Google search something that they could find the same information online in maybe 10 more seconds if they understand how to Google if you don't understand how to Google information which is a skill in itself then you won't know how to get the right information out of chat GP there isn't too much of a difference in what the normal use case of AI is right now compared to what you could do in the past but these chat apps and AI right now lack one crucial
trait which is agency if you haven't watched the Devon Ericson podcast that did extremely well and was very popular a few videos ago on my channel I would encourage you to watch that to learn about agency and the importance of it AI is a specialist that needs a generalist a tool that needs a master AI is useful for achieving a goal it is assigned like playing chess or beating go as long as AI must be tested or assigned a goal to determine its intelligence it is not even close to human intelligence the one thing I'm
seeing right now that is making people kind of freak out is that AI is starting to learn how to error correct toward different goals but if the if it's still a program that is told to discover unknown goals then that's still a goal and it is still not the governor of its own actions the the system is not complete it's not Universal but it's still incomplete now if you want to know what I mean by this and how powerful AI can actually be I'm not against AI I actually think it's quite powerful in my own
workflow especially if you know how to use it but in cortex our writing app and notetaking app cortex AI will be going in by the end of January so you can try that out if you just want to see cool ways to use AI because I think we've cracked the code for social media content newsletters Etc like the the content that our cortex AI spits out with our prompt engineering is better than any that I've seen on the market but that's the exact problem most people have been trained to be specialist tools not Innovative humans
in control of their journey in the unknown it's no wonder they're scared of replacement they should be since the day they were born they've been assigned goals and have error corrected to fit the mold their parents wanted them to fit in go to school get a job retire at 65 entrepreneurship yeah right save your money get good grades and listen to Authority take the safe route stay subservient to the dominant system system and before you know it your mind will scratch and Claw its way back to the life that it was sold to be comfortable
you may have the occasional desire to change the depth of your soul crying for you to break free but the coat in your head is so powerful that it quickly squashes that feature mistaken for a bug now do you see why I talk about this in almost every video whether it's related to AI or not just human agency and rejecting the conventional path it may sound like I'm beating a dead horse at this point but specialist conditioning is arguably the greatest destroyer of humanity it's the destroyer of creativity and without creativity there's no life there's
no meaning there's no happiness because happiness comes from solving problems so the question is what's the solution we'll get to that but we have a bit more of this story so around the 1960s a new perception of Technology started to emerge the perception was that by inventing computers a universal computer we had externalized our central nervous system we' externalized our brains or minds or intelligence so that we're now operating within one Collective mind we have all potential information at our fingertips and now if you want to get spiritual or Phil philosophical about this with idealism
or Consciousness I think it's a fun mental exercise to do but we're not here to dig into that today so unfortunately we don't hear much about cybernetics today and it's interesting because this new perception of Technology fueled poor incentives in other words people wanted to profit off of this and someone in specific John McCarthy didn't like Norbert weiner the the person behind cybernetics so he coined the term artificial intelligence and became a founding father in what we know today which I feel like is kind of messed up I like the term cybernetics more but now
let's talk about the good stuff because with the meteoric rise in the talk about intelligent machines it's kind of left us wondering if we're significant or not that's been a question for a long time is there something significant about being Being Human and for being the only species that has made it to the moon or built Rockets or done what we've done there has to be something there right now I've been studying David Deutsch a lot recently I feel like his teachings and philosophy are very relevant to what's happening right now and David was influenced
by Carl popper and both of them believe there is something significant about being human and our significance lies in our ability to create knowledge he considers us Universal explainers and Universal Constructors these are certain types of beings in reality so it starts with the need for creativity the process by which all knowledge that is created happens through conjecture and criticism trial and error variation and selection in darwinian terms so in other words guessing and correcting On's guess is how you accomplish anything you set your mind to this is how we learn innovate make progress and
understand almost anything in the universe the difference is that humans can set their minds on anything not just the goal it was assigned it can discover new goals that shape the perception of opportunities allowing our mind to error correct toward that goal so along with this thing of being a universal explainer is the fact that we are capable of understanding anything within the laws of nature or the laws of physics we create explanatory theories that reveal the Deep structure of reality allowing us to guess and predict in a more efficient way that breed faster progress
with time now I don't know if this is how deuts uh thinks about it but in his book The Beginning of infinity he kind of he doesn't reject them but he proposes a better option compared to reductionism and holism where reductionism is breaking things down into parts and seeing the parts as significant holism on the other hand is thinking in holes and seeing the holes as more significant but with David Deutsch and someone like Ken Wilbur with his integral Theory it's about both it's it's a I don't David probably wouldn't agree with this term but
holons Arthur kler coined the term holons which stands for whole parts and his Insight was that everything in reality is a holon it is a whole part like atoms to molecules to cells to organisms so on and so forth spanning everywhere or like me to this room to this apartment complex to this city to this country to this nation to the world to the cosmos etc etc each thing is a whole and it's a part or it's a part within a hole and a hole within itself and these parts and holes emerge transcend include all
of these other things so the Insight here being that we can understand any hole and we can understand the parts within the hole and if we can understand the parts within a hole and the hole itself then we can build that thing now the big problem with AGI is that we don't know what creativity is yet we haven't cracked the hard problem of Consciousness we don't understand the parts in the whole of that thing therefore we cannot build it and it's very unlikely that we're just going to m Mash things together in a way that
isn't consistent with how they're built and expected to emerge spontaneously as it is in us this knowledge allows us to understand things we've never directly experienced like stars and galaxies we can understand a rocket even if we've never built one and if we can understand it we can eventually build it if we have the knowledge to do so there is a logical sequence of steps or order of operations and each step requires you to have the knowledge for that step in your practical life you can't achieve something for the simple reason that you either don't
understand it or don't have the knowledge to achieve it for high agency humans this is liberating for low agency machines this is blasphemy and this is what many people get wrong about AGI AI or artificial intelligence is an incomplete system that must be assigned a goal like many animals or low agency employees are programmed to a GI or artificial general intelligence is a complete or Universal system like a human who is not limited to a small subset of things that are possible AGI may have more computational power or memory but there's no concept that it
can understand that we can't ourselves and that doesn't rule out the fact that we can use Universal computers or augment ourselves with more computation in memory the point is that you can achieve anything within the realm possibility but only if you have the knowledge to do so you are not doomed to the default path of society or the rule of AGI because because if AGI is Agi you are AGI you're practically the same thing one just has more computational power but computation isn't the only difference SL similarity so we need to understand the five human
capabilities and if AGI can become on par with those or surpass those so we understand our place in the world now the thing with all of this with AGI and even ASI which is artificial super intelligence is that people can't settle on a definition for it so I'm not going to talk about ASI here because frankly I don't know and absolutely nobody knows whether it's going to be a thing or if it can even become a thing or when it's going to become a thing for AGI that's kind of Within Reach and it is possible
so the questions here are are human capabilities actually limited do we not have the capability to learn and do anything that AGI could do ultimately are there any limits on what we can think and how we think mainly we need to pay attention to computation transformation variation selection and attention as noted by AGI researcher Carlos dardia he's also influenced by deuts and you can find him on YouTube it's AGI with Carlos so all of these ideas are kind of a culmination of his deutsches poppers Darwin's others so the first is computation and the question is
is there any limit to what we can compute and the answer is no because once you have a universal computer in your hands then it's it's just a matter of time and memory to compute anything so if agis have that then they have as much computational power as us and therefore no advantage over us and even further if we can augment our brains which I also don't see outside of the realm of possibility and something that we can build then we will remain on par with AGI as it accelerates and I think once AGI becomes
a thing we can't tell this now we don't know but once it does become a thing I think we're going to be pretty enlightened as to how underwhelming it may seem as it's happening as things do throughout your life it's like one major spark one ooh okay that happened now it's normal life our mind adapts to these things and one thing that I haven't touched on just yet is David Deutsch's belief that uh problems are infinite that there will always be problems to solve and that problems are soluble and if happiness stems from solving the
right problems then that is our source of happiness is to create so problems are infinite knowledge creation is infinite in that aspect so when AGI becomes a thing things may speed up things may go exponential but when you zoom out on the graph over the course of 50 years that exponential curve may just look like a normal line that we're going through right now that happens all the time it depends on how you zoom in and zoom out of History to see what's going on when you zoom super far in right now yeah it's an
exponential curve and it's scary but once that thing actually comes along and problems can be solved faster we're only going to be exposed to this new set of problems and only then can we decide what we're going to do and what our role or job here is now after computation is transformation and this is one that I personally find fascinating so transformation is creation we can turn raw materials into Rockets given the right knowledge and the thing with this is that human hands and bodies seem to be particularly good at transforming things because they can
perform any sequence of operations even if we can't do it we can build the thing that does it humans are generalists that build tools to survive in any environment nature is a very harsh place if we didn't have jackets or shelter to live in a freezing environment we would die within 3 hours people see nature as this like hospitable and sacred thing and I'm sure there is hospitability and sacredness in it there is it's the biosphere if that thing gets wiped out or we don't build another one then the new sphere doesn't have any ground
Hons right parts and holes if the parts get taken out from under the hole then the hole ceases to exist so human life ceases to exist if the biosphere ceases to exist that was a tangent but the the point is is that we've built rocket ships and telescopes we can build the thing that builds the thing so the question here is with transformation is there a limit to what these basic operations can do when strung together in the right way and again the answer is no if humans could teleoperate a gorilla or a squirrel as
Carlos puts it there is a sequence of steps to build a rocket with time now it's not particularly that a squirrel can build a rocket but imagine if Elon Musk was the person teleoperating that squirrel he has the knowledge to do it he could find a way to build the rocket not with just the squirrel what would Elon mus do right he'd get the team he'd get the materials he'd get the resources there would be a way to do it given time this is what many people Outsource in their life is that if they want
to achieve something they eventually hit a roadblock and then they can't error correct to hit the goal and then they quit altogether when there is a string of basic operations that you can do to achieve anything you want in life within the realm of possibility now the thing here is time transformation takes time it doesn't matter how fast AGI can compute and a singularity won't change that just as the Big Bang didn't or the enlightenment didn't the enlightenment didn't put rockets in the sky the big bang didn't put rockets in the sky it birthed a
new set of problems a new set of ideas and new potential for knowledge so far the AGI worry seems to be stemming from a fundamental misunderstanding of what reality is now the last three variation selection attention all have to do with how to create knowledge in other words it's about navigating idea space or the unknown because we can compute and we can transform but do we have the knowledge to do so can we acquire the knowledge to do so knowledge serves two functions the first is to make specific things happen preferably good things of course
rather than bad things the second is to capture patterns in in reality this allows us to store information in an efficient way so that we aren't always starting from scratch in our Pursuits we understand big picture Concepts like the sun rising and falling each day and Seasons changing every so often and without this understanding much of our lives would fall apart we wouldn't make cumulative progress so capturing patterns in reality allows us to plan by proximity we understand that we would freeze to death in a cold environment so we don't go into the cold environment
until we have the tool to survive in that environment and something like a jacket or a hotel is just a deposit of knowledge the other thing with this pattern recognition and efficiency of understanding is that in the future I believe that we're going to be speaking a a slightly different language than what we are now we're going to speak be speaking in this more abstracted highlevel layer that allows us to understand things that fall under it when everything becomes this natural language type deal like us uh speaking natural language to spit out code from an
llm AS language evolves as it does we're going to be speaking in a much clearer more efficient way that allows us to navigate idea space of the future because if a lot of the problems that we have now are solved and we're open to this new set of possibilities and knowledge and if language paves the road of thought like thought can only go as far as the language allows we're going to be speaking a different language so that we can perceive different things now we've talked a lot about idea space but idea space is what
you have to explore in order to to create knowledge so the idea space think of it as the unknown you can think of the unknown as a map there's light spots on the map think of in a video game like your uh mini map where there's light spots on the map and those are the areas you've explored that's the known and then the dark areas are the unknown the places you haven't explored yet and the dark spots are where your potential lies if you just operate within your bubble of comfort or your comfort zone or
the known all the time then you aren't going to discover anything new you're not going to be happy you're not going to find meaning you're not going to have problems to solve the map or the unknown is a surface area for ideas that can be discovered and tested against reality to verify their validity when those results do not move you closer toward your goal or move you further from that a problem is revealed and you must error correct toward the goal so the first part of this is variation is there a limit to the number
of new ideas we can come up with to survive and Achieve what we set our minds to with computation we can navigate the entire space of ideas with agency we can take any step within that space and eventually stumble across a good idea after many bad ones with creation we can move in unique ways like flying over a forest rather than walking through it so by creating new things and creating new knowledge it allows us to explore this unknown or just this idea space in new ways to find new ideas you find ideas in the
sky rather than on the ground because now you can fly through the sky so we can understand anything create anything and discover an infinite set of new ideas to solve an infinite string of problems again AGI can do the same and we are both Bound by the laws of nature but any possibility inside of that is Within Reach now after variation comes selection we can come up with any idea but can we find the good ones the potential problem here is that it is difficult to make cumulative progress without learning from mistakes it wouldn't be
fun to start off from scratch if we wanted to build an electric car after a gas car we wouldn't be very developed as a species as universal cybernetic systems we can become more efficient at navigating idea space to avoid wandering lost we error correct so again there's no fundamental difference between AGI and humans here now the last part is attention this one is specifically from Carlos deag Guardia and I like it because I have a book called The Art of focus that actually goes into a lot of the deeper nature of attention it's not a
very scientific book I feel like when people some people Purchase start of focus they're like oh I'm going to learn how to do deep work no it it's more so my life philosophy so one other aspect that humans take for granted is our ability to change our focus by changing our perspective when a problem occurs where does your attention go if you want to build a rocket does it help to ask the old gods to do it for you or can you change lenses to view the situation in a way that allows you to perceive
opportunities what I'm saying here is that in the past even now when you encounter a problem people's minds often default to the the worldview or belief system that they were programmed to believe in when people have money problems they think oh they start praying to God and asking for help and while that can help Orient your attention in a way that allows you to overcome that problem it usually isn't the best lens to actually solve that problem I'm not saying that it's an invalid lens or an invalid belief system or worldview I'm just saying that
it's not the overarching one that's going to solve all the problems in your life to me that's more of a a sense making or a meaning mechanism to allow you to to find peace and Clarity just in your place in the world in terms of solving a problem like money that's a completely different skill set and belief system in order to do that well and efficiently and not waste a lot of time and so this presents a massive problems for humans is just Paradigm lock in ideology because we do have the ability to change our
perspective when new problems come up and by attaching to a specific ideology you box yourself into this narrow set you can't explore idea space very well or very far so in other words humans have the ability to put on a spiritual lens to find peace and a scientific lens to find progress and any other lens in between one big problem that I see a lot is just identifying with a purely ascending philosophy because that's no different from being an incomplete system that will fail to solve certain sets of problems spirituality is a great lens or
tool it's a very big picture lens or tool that you can expand into when you need to when you're not focused on a problem it's kind of like the it's like the solution to everything is to surrender to every problem and just hope that it passes You by or to release tension but it sounds big picture but reality isn't that myopic it's a good solution and it's a good tool but a bad Master for many problems in your life and it also just fails to integrate you're you're focused on the whole it's holism right that
that is more significant than anything in the world but you're neglecting all of the parts that make it up it's not integral you're practically rejecting survival and by doing so you cause a lot more pain and suffering that you're trying to solve with a solution that one isn't a solution and two isn't the best way to go about solving the problems it's very one-dimensional so with that said all of that said AGI does not seem like it can surpass us very far especially if we can become very similar to AGI which is I would assume
a big part of the future but the question is okay what do we do this doesn't help the fact that Life as we know it will change jobs will be replaced and the unknown creeps nearer so in my opinion the only option is what it has been the entire time to dive in let's start from a recent tweet from Naval rant be a Creator and you won't have to worry about jobs careers and AI now as I've discussed in like 80% of my videos and as nval eloquently put here the answer is to become a
Creator specifically a value Creator now when I say this many people assume that I'm saying become a content creator like this myopic little job that people want to become now when they grow up because it seems like you just don't do anything you just talk to a camera all day and it's definitely not a business model with certain skills that you need and it it's not you just sit around and you record videos all day and you're good to go so no being a Creator isn't about posting content being a Creator is about digging down
to the essence of your being in the reason behind most of your actions which is to create something worth using to be valuable to feel as if you have a place in the world to feel a connection to something greater than yourself to contribute and with creativity something we don't understand yet so let me string this together to just help it click the word entrepreneur is a French origin it comes from the verb entreprene entreprendre I'm not French which means to undertake or to do something in the 16th centur when translated to English it became
a noun referring to a person who undertakes a business project so in other words an entrepreneur is someone who is doing something it is not a title or label but an act it is the commitment to a high agency life a commitment to doing things without permission from someone else to set your own goals and navigate the unknown to achieve them and in lies the problem people want to be told what to do when that's exactly what will get them replaced that doesn't mean to stop learning from other people it means to not treat any
form of a job skill or career as an end this is going to be something extremely important in the future is not attaching to one specific way of doing things or one specific outcome for your life everything's going to be changing a lot faster problems are going to emerge knowledge is going to emerge we're going to be pivoting left and right things are going to seem so unstable unless you understand how to navigate that or unless you're a high agency person who can handle that there's going to be very little certainty in the future and
that is an amazing thing that is not a bad thing at all so in this sense a Creator is someone who is creating something it's not a title or a fancy new kind of job where you can sit in front of a camera and do minimal work it is a way of being and it just so happens that the highest leverage place to create right now at least is on the internet it is the path of high agency you don't need permission to create something and post it on the internet you don't need permission to
navigate idea space and find the information you need this may change in the future but that only reinforces the point no matter if it's the internet or Intergalactic space the answer has been and always will be to become a creator of course and as we've learned that doesn't mean it's easy that doesn't mean you can skip trial and error that doesn't mean that one course is going to give you all the answers because that's not how the mind works that's not how time works that's not how AGI will work when we're exposed to a completely
new set of problems where the our current level of intelligence isn't going to do it now I'm kind of obligated to promote my tour writer course and one person business Launchpad course because it's highly relevant but I just want to make the point here about the content creator thing like don't go into this to become a writer or a content creator or a oneperson business or whatever it may be those are Concepts to help you understand the parts of that compose that thing it's supposed to equip you with a new way of looking at things
and the skills to achieve certain things in your life so if you want to achieve those things in your life then yeah toour writer one person business Launchpad can help you but they're they're not a one they're not a quick fix you still have to error correct toward a goal you're not going to do it for 30 days and gain a billion followers at once you're going to learn how to write and you're going to get better at writing and you're going to learn the skills that require to start a business and you're going to
get better at those skills it's it's a a commitment for life to error correct in a high agency Direction and that's what creators do they solve the infinite set of problems that life presents without problems there is no creativity without problems there is no purpose pain and suffering stem from the inability to understand problems and more so relinquishing your ability to solve them a world without creativity and purpose is a world without life now the mark of a sovereign individual is that they learn how to learn they have an evolving vision for the future they
build a meaningful project as one stepping stone they identify problems that prevent progress they generate ideas and test solutions they become more efficient with time they deposit their creation and knowledge if valuable they are rewarded by the monetary system of that Society if not valuable they eror correct until valuable and lastly they never ever quit because someone else's Vision trumps their own do it all write design market sell film code be the generalist you were born to be be the orchestrator of ideas the governor of thought AI is simply a tool that now allows you
to learn and do all of these once it becomes your master you lose nobody can tell you what to do in the future but has it ever been any different at this point we're just talking in circles you're looking for the quick fix as always when the quickest fix is the longest path the principles haven't changed and they're not going to change in the future you just haven't taken the leap thank you for watching if you want a free life reset planner just join my newsletter and it'll get sent to you in the welcome email
link in the description for all of those sign up for cortex AI stuff is coming late January mobile app desktop app and offline mode are being uh dropped throughout January if you sign up for cortex you'll receive an email with all of those things and you can join the Discord as well all right thank you like subscribe bye
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